Estimación de un modelo del mercado de trabajo para México (1973–2006)

Este trabajo plantea un modelo econométrico dinámico de oferta y demanda de trabajo para México. La demanda de trabajo de largo plazo depende positivamente del producto interno bruto (PIB) y negativamente de las remuneraciones reales al trabajo. A su vez, la oferta de trabajo se manifiesta a través de una ecuación de salarios, la cual se comporta como curva de salarios en el largo plazo y como curva de Phillips en el corto plazo. El modelo se estima con técnicas de ecuaciones simultáneas combinadas con mecanismos del tipo de corrección de error.

Pronósticos y simulación, empleo, desempleo, salarios, fuerza de trabajo

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