The cognitive transition in Mexico: economic geography and local governance impacts
Abstract
This article shows that cognitive ability dynamics interact with both individual and local indicators of macroeconomic wellbeing, publicly provided goods and private goods, through 141 localities in Mexico. The link of these various goods with inequity is compared quantitatively using the concentration index decomposition. The set of individual characteristics including paternal and maternal cognitive ability, whether mother works, father's schooling and household wealth, and the set of local characteristics including local economic activity, local public policy and local marginalization indicators, each have significant connections with the formation of cognitive ability. Living in a rural locality is associated with one fourth of inequities in cognitive ability. This is consistent with a model of human development and economic growth exhibiting aggregate macroeconomic channels through which economic geography and local governance can lead to stratification and divergence in welfare indicators. There is a long-term transition towards higher levels of cognitive ability that will take several generations to converge at the current rate.
Keywords
Cognitive ability, cognitive transition, economic geography, local governance, Latin America, Mexico
References
- Arora, S. (2001), "Health Human Productivity and Long-Term Economic Growth", Journal of Economic History, vol. 61, no. 3, 699-749.
- Baldwin, R., et al. (2003), Economic Geography and Public Policy, Princeton University Press, Princeton, N.J.
- Behrman, R. and M. R. Rosenzweig (2002), "Does Increasing Women's Schooling Raise the Schooling of the Next Generation?", American Economic Review, vol. 92, no. 1 (March), 323-334.
- Black, S. E., P. J. Devereux, and K. G. Salvanes (2005), "Why the Apple Doesn't Fall Far: Understanding Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital", American Economic Review, vol. 95, no. 1 (March), 437-449.
- Case, A., A. Fertig and C. Paxson (2003), "From Cradle to Grave?: The Lasting Impact of Childhood Health and Circumstance", NBER Working Paper 9788, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
- Case, A., D. Lubotsky and C. Paxson (2002), "Economic Status and Health in Childhood: The Origins of the Gradient", American Economic Review, vol. 92, no. 5, 1308-1334.
- Cervellati, M., and U. Sunde (2005), "Human Capital Formation, Life Expectancy and the Process of Economic Development", American Economic Review, vol. 95, no. 5, 1653-1672.
- Fogel, R. W. and L. T. Wimmer (1992), "Early Indicators of Later Work Levels, Disease, and Death", NBER Historical Working Papers 38, National Bureau of Economic Research.
- Fogel, R. W. (1994), "Economic Growth, Population Theory, and Physiology: The Bearing of Long-Term Processes on the Making of Economic Policy", American Economic Review, vol. 84, no. 3, 369-395.
- Fogel, R. W. (2002), "Nutrition, Physiological Capital, and Economic Growth", Mimeo, Pan American Health Organization and Inter-American Development Bank. <http://www.paho.org/English/HDP/HDD/fogel. pdf>.
- Harris J. and M. Todaro (1970), "Migration, Unemployment & Development: A Two-Sector Analysis", American Economic Review, March 1970, vol. 60, no. 1, 126-42.
- Heckman, J. and P. Carneiro (2003), "Human Capital Policy", NBER Working Paper 9495, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.
- Justino, P., J. Litchfield and L. Whitehead (2003), "The Impact of Inequality in Latin America", PRUS Working Papers 21, Poverty Research Unit at Sussex, University of Sussex.
- Kolenikov, S. and G. Angeles (2004), "The Use of Discrete Data in Principal Component Analysis: Theory, Simulations, and Applications to Socioeco-nomic Indices", Working Paper of MEASURE/Evaluation project, No. WP-04-85, Carolina Population Center, UNC.
- Londoño, J. L. and M. Székely (2000), "Persistent Poverty and Excess In-equality: Latin America, 1970-1995", Journal of Applied Economics, vol. III, 93-134, May.
- Mayer Foulkes, D., M. F. López Olivo and E. Serván Mori (2008), "Habilidades cognitivas: transmisión intergeneracional por niveles socioeconómicos", Estudios Económicos, vol. 23, no. 1, 129-156. Available at <http://estudio-seconomicos.colmex.mx/vol23num1/129-156.pdf>.
- Mayer-Foulkes, D. (2008a), "Economic Geography of Human Development: Stratified Growth in Bolivia, Brazil, Guatemala and Peru", Available at SSRN: <http://ssrn.com/abstract=1287952>.
- Mayer-Foulkes, D. (2008b), "The Human Development Trap in Mexico", World Development, vol. 36, no. 5, pp. 775-796.
- Mayer-Foulkes, D. and E. Serván-Mori (2009), "Formación de la capacidad cognitiva en México: impactos económicos y de políticas públicas", Estudios Económicos, Número Extraordinario, (February), 83-122.
- McKenzie, D. (2004), "Measuring Inequality with Asset Indicators", forth-coming, Journal of Population Economics.
- Neisser, U. (1997), "Rising Scores on Intelligence Tests", American Scientist, vol. 85, no. 5, 440-447.
- Plug, E. (2004), "Estimating the Effect of Mother's Schooling on Children's Schooling Using a Sample of Adoptees", American Economic Review, vol. 94, no. 1 (March), 358-368.
- Rosenzweig, Mark R. and Kenneth J. Wolpin (1986), "Evaluating the Effects of Optimally Distributed Public Programs", American Economic Review, vol. 76, no. 3 (June), 470-487.
- Wagstaff, A., and E. van Doorslaer (2000), Measuring and Testing for Inequity in the Delivery of Health Care, Journal of Human Resources, vol. 35, no. 4, 716-733.
- Wagstaff, A., et al. (2008), Analyzing Health Equity Using Household Survey Data: A Guide to Techniques and their Implementation, World Bank, Washington.