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Analysis of the evolution of greenhouse gases and their connection with the economic growth

Abstract

This article aims to develop quantitative research, using the method of ordinary least squares to estimate the causal relationship of economic and energy variables with environmental deterioration. The GDP of the primary, secondary and tertiary sectors, the population and its relationship with the increase in CO2, and the place they have in the Kuznets curve is analyzed. Land uses and their relationship with atmospheric pollution were also examined. Data from a decade was taken for Mexico since it is among the 15 countries that generate the most Greenhouse Gases (GHG) worldwide. We know in advance that the reduction of emissions entails an economic cost, which to date is still uncertain and varies in different situations, but despite the economic cost of reducing GHG, it was found that it is perfectly possible for the economy to continue growing, even when it reaches a zero-emissions model, which has a positive implication for the implementation of economic policies with environmental measures.

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